Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.330222 5.164633 6.093573 7.201082 8.482012 9.913319 11.629957
2025-06-22 2.924677 3.932020 5.171585 6.795825 8.853127 11.356008 14.613213
2025-06-29 2.196734 3.269284 4.704360 6.735658 9.502177 13.099101 18.082293
2025-07-06 1.713089 2.789455 4.338936 6.682083 10.074000 14.732805 21.524066
2025-07-13 1.485350 2.611225 4.334944 7.088290 11.277140 17.289871 26.415962
2025-07-20 1.269337 2.398191 4.228423 7.302478 12.194362 19.498442 30.987648
2025-07-27 1.124492 2.268203 4.220608 7.649343 13.325071 22.094136 36.317737
2025-08-03 0.949348 2.046714 4.019853 7.642163 13.875472 23.831999 40.467780
2025-08-10 0.770081 1.778299 3.689951 7.360076 13.924926 24.761747 43.402463
2025-08-17 0.629378 1.554639 3.401719 7.103393 13.972179 25.666518 46.334691
2025-08-24 0.541451 1.422091 3.263726 7.098555 14.448810 27.306017 50.570991
2025-08-31 0.470134 1.310578 3.148514 7.117715 14.961637 29.034150 55.062106
2025-09-07 0.402678 1.195186 3.011008 7.082782 15.384876 30.667003 59.563645
2025-09-14 0.324001 1.032410 2.742570 6.740600 15.176696 31.145804 62.071554
2025-09-21 0.277847 0.943009 2.624273 6.699887 15.557618 32.730621 66.670079
2025-09-28 0.238475 0.861961 2.511037 6.652874 15.916055 34.293174 71.325080
2025-10-05 0.226791 0.859807 2.592191 7.059742 17.265303 37.857481 79.947357
2025-10-12 0.207153 0.827999 2.591976 7.273932 18.217516 40.705054 87.375803
2025-10-19 0.194792 0.816684 2.643994 7.619871 19.488630 44.271179 96.396716
2025-10-26 0.170637 0.758599 2.558284 7.612804 19.965744 46.256905 102.439964
2025-11-02 0.141138 0.671936 2.375286 7.331701 19.784174 46.865528 105.778965
2025-11-09 0.117064 0.597061 2.211505 7.075900 19.631314 47.514432 109.225854
2025-11-16 0.102840 0.556458 2.144316 7.071081 20.077278 49.468345 115.450305